There are new twists in the ever-entertaining shale gas saga. The New York Times, which turned obscure Cornell University marine ecologist Robert Howarth into an anti-fracking rock star on the way to getting hammered by its own public editor—I take some of the credit—for its biased reporting on the subject, is finally getting on the science bandwagon.
Last April, the Times ran two articles in a week promoting Howarth’s claim that shale gas generates more greenhouse gas emissions than the production and use of coal. It would be difficult to overstate the influence of this paper, which ricocheted through the media echo chamber and was even debated in the British parliament.
What the Times didn’t report then, and until now has been systematically ignored, is that almost every independent researcher—at the Environmental Defense Fund, the Natural Resources Defense Council, the Council on Foreign Relations, the Energy Department, and numerous independent university teams, including a Carnegie Mellon study partly financed by the Sierra Club—has slammed Howarth’s conclusions. Within the field, Howarth is considered an activist, not an independent scientist. Many commentators, including independent lefty columnist Joe Nocera, think the gas is too valuable to be left in the ground, as the hard Left is urging.
Maybe a little fresh air is finally leaking into the Times’ insular chambers. Calling Cathles’s report a “fresh rebuttal” of Howarth’s much-maligned study, Dot Earth’s Andrew Revkin cites the latest researcher to diss its shaky science. The twist is that the point scientist for the new study was Howarth’s colleague at Cornell, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences professor Lawrence Cathles, who is an expert in this field, unlike Howarth.
Cathles convincingly demolishes Howarth’s four major claims, two of which we’ll highlight here:
• Howarth et al. claimed that shale gas wells are virtual methane sieves. But as Cathles shows, Howarth appears to have deliberately used EPA estimates of venting in 2007, a century ago by shale gas technology standards. He’s off by at least 10-20 times—at least.
• Howarth used decades-old data from the Soviet Union to make a bogus case that unconventional gas wells leak more methane than conventional wells.
Cathles conclusion that “The data clearly shows that substituting natural gas for coal will have a substantial greenhouse benefit under almost any set of reasonable assumptions” is critical but unremarkable in that it reflects the conclusions of almost every major researcher in the field, except Howarth and hard Left advocacy magazines such as Mother Jones that blindly promote marginal science when it mimics their ideological take on an issue.
Even New York Times blogger Revkin seems to agree, stating “[T]he notion that gas holds no advantage over coal, in weighing the climate implications of energy choices, is fading fast (to my reading of the science and that of many others).” It’s great to see the Times bloggers catching up with the science… about a year late… but it is a shame that they put Howarth on the fast track to progressive icon status with his reporting last April.
In fact, the “farcical position that shale gas is dirtier than coal” was never scientifically serious enough to fade; it is and was a fiction of activists, including Howarth, whose goal is to undermine a balanced scientific debate on shale gas and climate change.
Jon Entine, senior research fellow at the Center for Health & Risk Communication at STATS/George Mason, is a visiting fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.


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