Politics and Public Opinion

What You May Have Missed in This Week’s Polls: Gay Marriage, Chris Christie and the Gender Gap, and More

—The new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll shows bare majority support for gay marriage.  This the second major national poll to show majority support for gay marriage.

—In the new Quinnipiac poll of registered voters in New Jersey, Governor Chris Christie had a 47 to 46 percent approval rating. But what caught our eye was the huge gender gap in Christie’s rating: 56 percent of men approve of the job he’s doing, while 38 percent disapprove. Among women, the results were almost a mirror image, with 38 percent approving and 53 percent disapproving. That’s a 33-point gap. Ronald Reagan won with a 17-point gender gap in 1980 and Bob Dole lost with a 17-point gap, so it isn’t always the size of the gap that’s important. But with women a growing part of the electorate, the Christie gap is something to watch.

—Also in the Quinnipiac poll, President Obama would beat Christie in Democratic-leaning New Jersey in a 2012 matchup, by 52 to 39 percent.

—In most polls, solid majorities of Americans want their country to be No. 1, but in the new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll, people split evenly, with 49 percent saying it was important to be No. 1, and 50 percent saying that being No. 1 isn’t that important as long as the United States is among the leading military powers. In a 1999 poll, 59 percent said it was important for the United States to be No. 1; in 1993, 61 percent gave that response.

—There was an important nugget in Dan Balz and Jon Cohen’s commentary on the new ABC/Post poll. “For the first time in available data, more than half of whites without college degrees see the economy as deteriorating.” This group is slightly less than half the electorate and extremely formidable politically. Gore lost them by 17 points, Kerry by 23. Obama’s big deficit (18 points) among the group was overcome by his strong performance among other groups, particularly Hispanics and young people. Worth watching.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>