Politics and Public Opinion

Is stagnation good enough for Obama’s reelection?

According to Citigroup, we’re looking at 2.1% GDP, 8% unemployment, and a $1.2 trillion deficit.

Stagnation Nation.

But good enough for four more years? Well, lets plug these numbers in a vote forecasting model from Reuters:

A 38.4% chance of reelection? Not so good for Team Obama. OK, how about the well-known model from Yale’s Ray Fair, whose work the Reuters model is based on? Well, I plugged in the numbers and got 49.2% of the two-party vote, almost the same as Reuters.

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